TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Morgan Wallen's song 'I'm The Problem' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It examines how high the album ranks among the nation's best-selling albums, reflecting public interest and sales figures.
If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #3 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #4 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #5 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #6 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #7 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #8 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #9 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #10 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely ranking based on available information and betting volume. The market’s price dynamics adjust dynamically to new data, such as early sales figures or media coverage, allowing participants to react quickly to changing conditions in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will be determined by the chart’s methodology, which includes tracking sales, streaming, and other relevant metrics over the specified period. Until then, market participants will watch for any news that could affect the album’s performance.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including strong streaming numbers, major media features, or unexpected competition from other releases around the same time. Social media trends, celebrity endorsements, or controversies surrounding the album can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute changes in sales strategies or distribution partnerships may cause rapid adjustments in market odds as participants reassess probabilities.