TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Morgan Wallen's song 'I'm The Problem' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the top positions on the chart, reflecting its popularity and commercial success during that period.
The event determines the ranking of Morgan Wallen's song 'I'm The Problem' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. If the song ranks between positions #1 and #10 inclusive on the chart for that week, the market resolves to Yes. Each primary rule specifies a unique ranking position from #1 to #10, all leading to the same outcome. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for that week is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will set the market result based on where the album appears—or if it appears at all—on the chart.
Key signals include early sales reports, streaming numbers, media features, award nominations, or any controversy surrounding the artist. Strong performance at concerts or in pre-release promotions could boost expectations, while negative publicity or distribution delays might depress the odds. All of these factors feed into trader decisions and can shift this market sharply as the Aug 19, 2026 date approaches.