TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Drake's album 'ICEMAN' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated September 5, 2026. It captures how the album's ranking influences market outcomes, reflecting public interest and sales data aggregated by Billboard.
The event evaluates the chart position of Drake's album 'ICEMAN' on the Billboard 200 for the week of September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10. If the album achieves any of these positions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that neither Billboard nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to Billboard are purely descriptive.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market reflects crowd-sourced expectations priced dynamically by traders. While analysts may weigh album quality, release timing, and fan engagement, prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting activity and sentiment shifts. Discrepancies often emerge when new data—such as streaming numbers or social media buzz—drives rapid price changes.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Billboard 200 rankings are published and independently verifiable. The final chart position of the album will set the settlement, based on widely reported industry data rather than internal or proprietary metrics.
Key signals include early sales figures, streaming platform metrics, media coverage of the album launch, and any chart rule updates from Billboard. Competitor releases around the same time could also affect expectations. As Sep 9, 2026 approaches, real-time tracking of digital sales, social media buzz, and industry analyst updates will likely drive significant price swings in this market.