TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Taylor Swift's song 'I Knew It, I Knew You' on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. It focuses on where the song ranks among the top positions that week, reflecting public interest and airplay data compiled by Billboard.
The event determines the exact top-10 chart position of Taylor Swift's song 'I Knew It, I Knew You' on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week dated August 8, 2026. Each numbered market corresponds to a specific rank from #1 to #10. If the song appears at the respective rank indicated in any market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from Billboard.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often captures crowd-sourced expectations that can diverge from expert predictions. Where analysts might weigh long-term trends, traders react quickly to fresh signals like streaming numbers or media coverage. The gap between these views can widen or narrow over time, especially as the August 8 chart date approaches. Monitoring both sides gives a fuller picture of where expectations are headed.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for August 8, 2026 is verified against credible public sources. The final ranking position of the song will settle all contracts, closing the market based on published chart data at that time.
Key signals include weekly streaming and sales reports, chart performance of competing releases, media coverage surrounding the song, and any last-minute chart rule updates from Billboard. Sudden spikes in streams or a strong performance at award shows could also shift trader sentiment. As the August 8 date nears, even small updates can cause noticeable price swings in this market.