TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Taylor Swift's song "I Knew It, I Knew You" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the most popular tracks in the United States during that specific week, reflecting public listening trends and chart activity.
The event determines the ranking of Taylor Swift’s song “I Knew It, I Knew You” on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week dated August 29, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific chart position, ranging from #1 to #10. If the song appears at any of these positions on the officially published Billboard Hot 100 chart for that week, the respective market resolves to "Yes." Positions outside this range result in all markets resolving to "No." The rules clarify that references to Billboard and the Hot 100 are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation between Billboard and the event operator. The resolution depends solely on the public chart data released by Billboard for the specified week.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about where the song will land on the chart, but it isn’t the only perspective. Analyst forecasts often weigh factors like airplay trends, streaming numbers, and historical chart patterns. While prediction markets can react quickly to breaking news or social media buzz, analysts may provide a more measured view based on long-term performance indicators. Comparing the two gives a fuller picture of expectations leading up to Sep 2, 2026. The gap between market odds and analyst predictions can highlight areas of consensus or divergence in the industry.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds based on real-time information and expectations about Taylor Swift’s chart performance. The current pricing captures the collective guesswork of participants, factoring in recent singles, album cycles, and any public statements that might influence listener behavior. Volume of $0 and 24-hour volume of $0 show how engaged the community is, with price shifts often following major announcements or data drops. This dynamic pricing model lets participants bet on different possible chart positions as the Sep 2, 2026 date approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for that week is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by standard chart rules, including sales, streaming, and airplay metrics, after which all positions settle automatically based on where the song lands.
Key signals include weekly streaming numbers, major music releases competing for chart space, and any last-minute promotional pushes by Taylor Swift or her label. Sudden spikes in social media mentions, concert announcements, or media coverage could also shift trader sentiment. As Sep 2, 2026 approaches, any unexpected chart rulings or changes to eligibility criteria may create sharp moves in this market.