TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
10
- Kalshi
10 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 9, 2026
Closed: Jun 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Drake's album HABIBTI will rank at number three on the Billboard 200 chart for the week ending June 13, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—HABIBTI reaching the #3 position—stands at 48.5%, while the alternative outcome carries 48.5% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official Billboard 200 chart rankings released for that week. Watch the album's performance trajectory leading up to the June 13, 2026 chart date to assess its competitive positioning against other releases.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical chart performance, artist momentum, and playlist positioning, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of traders with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing Kalshi odds to music critic predictions, chart analysts, and industry publications can reveal whether markets price in factors analysts overlook, or conversely, whether expert opinion suggests the market is mispricing Drake's likely chart position for 'HABIBTI' on the June 13, 2026 Billboard 200.
The market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, after the Billboard 200 chart dated June 13, 2026 is officially published. The outcome is determined by the final chart position assigned to Drake's 'HABIBTI' on that specific Billboard 200 weekly chart. Once the official chart data is released and verified, the correct outcome contract is settled and all positions are closed. Traders who held the winning outcome receive their payout based on the contract price at which they entered.
Several factors could shift market odds for 'HABIBTI's chart position before resolution. Major catalysts include Drake's official release date and promotional strategy, streaming numbers and playlist placements on Spotify and Apple Music, radio airplay and industry buzz, competing releases from other major artists in the same week, and any chart-relevant news about Drake's commercial momentum. Additionally, early chart predictions from Billboard insiders, social media virality, and performance of related Drake tracks or features could influence trader expectations. Real-world chart performance data from international markets may also signal likely U.S. Billboard positioning.
