TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of a specific album on a major music chart for a particular week. It reflects how well the album sells and is distributed compared to other releases during that period. The outcome depends on the album's position in the chart rankings for the specified date.
Kalshi
The event determines whether 'Danger Days: The True Lives of the Fabulous Killjoys (Deluxe Edition)' by My Chemical Romance achieves a top-ten position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. Each primary rule specifies that if the album ranks within positions #1 through #10 on the chart for that week, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between Billboard and the market operator. The focus is solely on the album's chart ranking, with no additional performance metrics or conditions affecting the resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market suggests a specific likelihood for where the album might land, which can be contrasted with recent analyst forecasts from music industry reports. Analysts often weigh factors like pre-order numbers, streaming projections, and historical chart performance. Where this market differs, it reflects real-time trader sentiment rather than static expert opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week ending Aug 8, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will be determined by standard chart methodology, including sales, streaming, and track equivalent algebra.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 12, 2026. Major promotional campaigns, streaming service exclusives, or surprise collaborations may boost visibility and sales, pushing the album higher. Conversely, competing releases or negative publicity could suppress its chart performance. Real-time sales data and weekly Billboard updates will be closely watched by traders, as each new reporting period offers fresh information that can rapidly adjust expectations and pricing.
