TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
Where will 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley rank on the Billboard 200 chart dated Jun 6, 2026?
kalshi

Where will 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley rank on the Billboard 200 chart dated Jun 6, 2026?

Volume:
$12

2

 - Kalshi

2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: May 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

4

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

6

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

8

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

9

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

10

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Ella Langley's album DANDELION will achieve the top position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week ending June 6, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that DANDELION reaches number one—stands at 97.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Billboard 200 rankings published for that chart week, with the market settling based on DANDELION's final charting position as of the Billboard 200 chart dated June 6, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders actively betting on chart performance. These odds can be compared against music industry analyst forecasts, chart-tracking services, and pre-release streaming projections. Analysts often rely on historical debut patterns and promotional momentum, while prediction markets incorporate broader information flows and trader conviction. Divergences between the two may signal underpriced or overpriced outcomes relative to expert opinion and available data about Ella Langley's commercial trajectory.

On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary contract: will 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley reach number-one on the Billboard 200 during the week of June 6, 2026? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades between 0 and 100, where the price directly reflects the implied probability of a number-one debut. Traders buy at lower prices if they believe the outcome is underpriced, or sell if they think it is overpriced. Settlement occurs after the official Billboard chart is published, with payouts determined by whether the song achieves the top position.

This market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, following the publication of the official Billboard 200 chart dated June 6, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final chart position assigned to 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley on that specific chart week. Resolution depends on verified sales, streaming, and radio data compiled by Billboard according to their standard methodology. Once the chart is published and confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on whether the song achieved the number-one ranking.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Major streaming milestones, radio airplay announcements, or viral social media moments could increase bullish sentiment. Conversely, competing releases from established artists, chart fatigue, or weak pre-order data might reduce the probability of a number-one debut. Award nominations, high-profile performances, or celebrity endorsements could boost momentum. Additionally, broader music industry trends, playlist placements on major platforms, and real-time sales tracking reports will influence trader expectations as the chart week approaches and actual performance data becomes available.