TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
3
- Kalshi
3 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 23, 2026
Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
A specific album will chart on the Billboard 200 for the week of June 27, 2026, placing somewhere in the top ten positions.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the official Billboard 200 chart published for the week of June 27, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific chart position for 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley. The market resolves to Yes if the album achieves the designated ranking on that date's chart. This market is not endorsed by Billboard, and references to Billboard and associated marks are descriptive only.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional music analyst forecasts or industry pundit predictions. While analysts may rely on pre-release buzz, playlist placements, and artist track record, prediction markets incorporate live trading signals and aggregate dispersed knowledge from participants with financial skin in the game. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish on 'DANDELION' than expert consensus, offering a complementary lens on its likely chart performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced through binary or categorical outcome contracts tied to specific Billboard 200 ranking bands for 'DANDELION' on the chart dated June 27, 2026. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents and representing the implied probability of that ranking occurring. As new information emerges—such as pre-order data, streaming momentum, or competing releases—prices adjust to reflect updated market expectations.
This market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after the Billboard 200 chart dated June 27, 2026 is officially published. The outcome is determined by where 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley actually ranks on that specific chart release. Resolution depends on the final chart position reported by Billboard, which aggregates sales, streaming, and radio data according to their standard methodology. Once the chart is public and verified, the market settles to the outcome bracket that matches the song's actual ranking.
Key catalysts include Ella Langley's promotional activities, playlist additions on major streaming platforms, radio airplay announcements, and pre-order or early sales data. Competing releases scheduled for the same chart week could impact 'DANDELION' by fragmenting the market. Social media momentum, viral moments, or unexpected collaborations may boost visibility. Additionally, broader music industry trends, streaming algorithm changes, or shifts in listener demand could influence the track's chart trajectory. Any major news about Langley or the song itself will likely trigger trading activity on Kalshi.
