TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
A music album by Ella Langley achieves a top-ten position on the Billboard 200 chart during the week of June 20, 2026.
Resolution is determined by the official Billboard 200 chart ranking for the week of June 20, 2026. The event resolves to Yes if 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley appears at any position from #1 through #10 on that chart. The specific ranking position determines which individual market outcome resolves affirmatively. Billboard and its associated marks are referenced descriptively and do not indicate endorsement of this product or affiliation with Kalshi.
On Kalshi, the 'DANDELION' chart-position market is priced through a binary or multi-outcome contract structure reflecting the probability of each possible Billboard 200 ranking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific chart-position brackets, with prices ranging from near zero to near 100 based on collective belief in that outcome. As the June 20, 2026 chart date approaches and actual sales and streaming data become clearer, prices adjust to reflect new information, allowing traders to profit from accurate predictions or hedge exposure to the song's commercial success.
The market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, following the official release of the Billboard 200 chart dated June 20, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final chart position assigned to 'DANDELION' by Ella Langley on that specific chart week. Resolution occurs after Billboard publishes its rankings, which reflect sales, streams, and radio airplay data collected during the tracking period. Once the official chart position is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome, and traders' positions are finalized based on whether their prediction matched the actual result.
Key catalysts include Ella Langley's radio airplay momentum, streaming performance on major platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, and any viral social-media moments or TikTok trends tied to 'DANDELION'. Chart-adjacent releases from competing artists, unexpected promotional campaigns, or high-profile playlist placements can shift market odds. Pre-release sales data, fan engagement metrics, and industry commentary on the song's commercial viability will influence trader expectations. Additionally, broader chart dynamics—such as competition from other major releases that week—and any changes to Ella Langley's touring or media visibility could move prices as the June 20 chart date approaches.