TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the commercial performance of Madonna's album 'CONFESSIONS II' by measuring its position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. The outcome depends on where the album ranks among the top-selling albums in the United States during that specific week.
If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #3 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #4 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #5 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #6 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #7 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #8 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #9 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna is ranked #10 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible chart positions. The current top outcome reflects collective trader assessment of Madonna’s album performance relative to competing releases. Price fluctuations respond to new data such as streaming numbers, media coverage, and chart-modeling reports released before Aug 12, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Billboard 200 chart dated Aug 8, 2026 is officially published. The ranking will be determined by standard Billboard methodology, which evaluates album sales, streaming equivalents, and track-equivalent units during the tracking week ending Aug 7, 2026.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute marketing campaigns, social media buzz, streaming service promotions, and any unexpected chart-eligible releases competing for positions. Weekly streaming updates and album sales reports released in the days before the chart cut-off will also heavily influence trader positioning and price action on Kalshi as participants adjust expectations.