TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
1
- Kalshi
1 - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 2, 2026
Closed: May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Chris Brown's album BROWN will debut at the number two position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of June 6, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—BROWN reaching number two—stands at 48.0%, while an alternative top-tier placement also carries 48.0% probability. The resolution source is the official Billboard 200 chart dated June 6, 2026. Watch for the album's release date and early streaming and sales data leading up to the chart week of June 6, 2026, which will signal its likely debut position.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on 'BROWN''s chart position, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on industry experts' assessments of pre-order data, streaming momentum, and comparable album performance. Markets often incorporate broader information faster than formal forecasts, but analysts may offer deeper context on marketing campaigns and competitive releases. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are more or less bullish than expert predictions on the album's debut week ranking.
On Kalshi, 'BROWN''s chart ranking is priced through binary and categorical outcome contracts reflecting different possible positions on the Billboard 200 for the week of June 6, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand. The current market reflects strong interest in whether the album will reach the number two position. Prices update continuously as new information about pre-orders, streaming performance, and competitive releases emerges closer to the chart date.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated June 6, 2026 is officially published. Resolution is determined by the actual chart position where 'BROWN' appears on that official Billboard chart. The outcome is objective and verifiable through Billboard's published rankings, ensuring clear settlement of all contracts. Traders should monitor Billboard's official announcements and chart release schedule to confirm the final ranking.
Several factors could shift odds for 'BROWN''s chart ranking before resolution. Major catalysts include pre-order numbers, streaming performance on platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, radio airplay data, and chart positioning of competing releases. Marketing announcements, features or collaborations, and Chris Brown's social media engagement can influence momentum. Chart tracking services often release preliminary data mid-week, which traders use to adjust positions. Unexpected competitive releases or industry news could also impact market expectations for the album's debut week performance.
