TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Where will 'Boston' rank on the Billboard Hot 100?
2
- Kalshi
2 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the potential performance of a song titled 'Boston' by an artist named STELLA LEFTY on a prominent music chart at a specific future date. It examines where the song might land among thousands of tracked recordings in terms of popularity and listener engagement.
Kalshi
The event evaluates the chart position of the song 'Boston' by STELLA LEFTY on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week dated September 26, 2026. If the song ranks between positions #1 and #10 inclusive on that chart for that week, the event resolves positively. Each possible ranking outcome from #1 through #10 constitutes a separate resolving condition. The markets and associated products are explicitly not endorsed by Billboard, and any use of Billboard trademarks is purely descriptive and does not imply affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific event, as comprehensive pre-release chart predictions are not widely available. However, this market aggregates the informed opinions of many individuals, potentially offering a more dynamic and real-time assessment of 'Boston’s' chart performance than static pre-release predictions. Unlike polls that capture a snapshot in time, this market continuously adjusts as new information emerges and traders react to it, potentially revealing insights that traditional forecasts might miss.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different ranking outcomes for 'Boston'. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provides a transparent view of market sentiment regarding the song’s potential chart position.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 26, 2026, is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking of 'Boston' by STELLA LEFTY on that chart will determine the winning outcome in this market. The official Billboard charts are widely recognized as the industry standard for music performance, providing a reliable and objective measure of a song’s popularity and chart position.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Early streaming numbers and radio airplay data for 'Boston' will be key indicators, as these heavily influence Billboard chart rankings. Positive or negative critical reviews could also sway public opinion and, consequently, trading activity. Major promotional events, such as television appearances or viral social media campaigns, could boost the song’s visibility and drive up its chart position. Unexpected events, like collaborations or remixes, could also shift market sentiment and move the odds.
