TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Morgan Wallen's song "Been By Now" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the most popular tracks in the United States during that specific week.
The event determines the ranking of Morgan Wallen's song "Been By Now" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. If the song ranks between positions #1 and #10 inclusive on the chart for that week, the event resolves positively. Each primary rule specifies a distinct ranking position from #1 to #10, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if the song achieves any of these positions. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard.
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment about the song's chart performance, but it isn’t directly tied to analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like airplay trends, streaming numbers, and historical performance patterns. While prediction markets capture real-time betting activity, analyst forecasts may incorporate broader industry insights and historical context. The difference between the two can highlight where public betting diverges from expert opinion, offering a unique perspective on market sentiment versus professional evaluation.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of Sep 12, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will determine which outcome is settled.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 16, 2026. Key catalysts include weekly streaming numbers, radio airplay counts, chart performance of competing releases, and any major media coverage surrounding the song or artist. Unexpected events like award nominations, viral social media trends, or significant shifts in public sentiment could also impact trader expectations. As the chart week approaches, real-time data updates will drive rapid adjustments in market odds, reflecting the latest indicators of consumer behavior and industry momentum.