TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific song on a major music chart for a particular week. It focuses on where the song lands within the chart rankings, reflecting public listening trends and industry metrics at that moment.
The event determines whether the song "BE HER" by Ella Langley achieves a top-10 position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week dated August 8, 2026. Each numbered rule corresponds to one of the ranks from #1 to #10, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the song is found at that specific rank for the specified week. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome hinges solely on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart publication for that week.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect the aggregated expectations of active traders, which can diverge based on real-time sentiment, social media trends, and promotional activity surrounding the song. While analysts may offer detailed assessments, prediction market prices capture a broader, more volatile range of outcomes as betting activity fluctuates day to day.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for that week is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will determine the market’s settlement based on where the song lands on the chart dated August 8, 2026.
Key signals that could shift this market include major music releases, chart-boosting collaborations, radio airplay spikes, viral social media moments, and any last-minute promotional campaigns. Sudden changes in listener engagement or media coverage can cause rapid price swings as traders reassess the song’s chances of climbing the Billboard Hot 100.