TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
When will Miley Cyrus release a new album?
kalshi

When will Miley Cyrus release a new album?

Volume:
$35,065

Before Dec 1, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Dec 1, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Dec 1, 2026

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,976
N/A
N/A
$4,913
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,391
N/A
N/A
$4,999
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,974
N/A
N/A
$4,919
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Mar 1, 2027

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,958
N/A
N/A
$2,456
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Feb 1, 2027

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,308
N/A
N/A
$2,116
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,476
N/A
N/A
$1,207
5mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,982
N/A
N/A
$2,515
5mo 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the timing of Miley Cyrus's next album release, allowing participants to speculate on when her upcoming musical project might become available to the public. It reflects fan anticipation and industry expectations surrounding her future work.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Miley Cyrus will release a new album within specified timeframes throughout 2026 and early 2027. Each market corresponds to a distinct end date, ranging from September 1, 2026, to March 1, 2027. If a new album is released at any point before any of these deadlines, all relevant markets resolve accordingly. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the album is released prior to its respective cutoff date, with no partial credit or proportional resolution. The event concludes once an album is released, finalizing all remaining unresolved markets based on their defined timelines.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market participants are highly confident that Miley Cyrus will release a new album before December 1, 2026. This contrasts with some music industry analysts who suggest a release is unlikely until late 2027 or early 2028, citing her other commitments. However, the collective wisdom of traders in this market suggests a different timeline. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect real-money incentives, potentially making them more accurate than traditional forecasts based on subjective opinions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome to the question of whether Miley Cyrus will release a new album before December 1, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.

This market resolves around Mar 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will look for official announcements from Miley Cyrus or her representatives regarding the release of a full-length studio album. Any re-releases, compilations, or live albums will not count towards resolution. The determination will be based on widely available and verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Miley Cyrus regarding new music, studio sessions, or album artwork would be major catalysts. Increased media speculation, leaks of potential tracklists, or collaborations with other artists could also shift the odds. Conversely, announcements about other projects, such as acting roles or television appearances, might suggest a delay in album production and lower the probability of a release before the resolution date. Any significant news related to Miley Cyrus’s career will likely influence trading activity in this market.