TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the timing of Miley Cyrus's next album release, allowing participants to speculate on when her upcoming musical project might become available to the public. It reflects fan anticipation and industry expectations surrounding her future work.
The event determines whether Miley Cyrus will release a new album within specified timeframes throughout 2026 and early 2027. Each market corresponds to a distinct end date, ranging from September 1, 2026, to March 1, 2027. If a new album is released at any point before any of these deadlines, all relevant markets resolve accordingly. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the album is released prior to its respective cutoff date, with no partial credit or proportional resolution. The event concludes once an album is released, finalizing all remaining unresolved markets based on their defined timelines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome to the question of whether Miley Cyrus will release a new album before December 1, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Mar 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will look for official announcements from Miley Cyrus or her representatives regarding the release of a full-length studio album. Any re-releases, compilations, or live albums will not count towards resolution. The determination will be based on widely available and verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several events could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Miley Cyrus regarding new music, studio sessions, or album artwork would be major catalysts. Increased media speculation, leaks of potential tracklists, or collaborations with other artists could also shift the odds. Conversely, announcements about other projects, such as acting roles or television appearances, might suggest a delay in album production and lower the probability of a release before the resolution date. Any significant news related to Miley Cyrus’s career will likely influence trading activity in this market.