TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the base game version of Grand Theft Auto VI will launch at a price above $90 USD on PlayStation 5. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that GTA VI will be priced above $90—stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official PS5 price of the base game at launch, according to Kalshi's resolution criteria. Watch for Rockstar Games' official price announcement closer to the game's release date, which will settle this market.
If the price of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI for PS5 is above $60 dollars USD, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI for PS5 is above $70 dollars USD, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI for PS5 is above $80 dollars USD, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI for PS5 is above $90 dollars USD, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI for PS5 is above $100 dollars USD, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus on GTA VI's PS5 price, which often diverges from traditional analyst forecasts. While gaming analysts may rely on historical Rockstar pricing patterns and industry reports, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment and forward-looking expectations from thousands of participants. Comparing market odds to published analyst price targets and industry commentary can reveal whether traders expect GTA VI to follow conventional pricing or break from precedent based on market conditions and consumer demand.
The market resolves on Jan 1, 2030. Resolution is determined by the official PlayStation 5 price of GTA VI at launch or as announced by Rockstar Games. The outcome will reflect the standard retail price in the primary market region, excluding regional variations, bundle pricing, or promotional discounts. Once the price is publicly confirmed through official channels, the market settles to the corresponding outcome and winning positions are credited.
Key catalysts include official Rockstar announcements about GTA VI's pricing strategy, PlayStation 5 hardware lifecycle positioning, and competitive pricing from other major console releases. Publisher earnings calls and investor guidance may signal pricing intent. Industry commentary on development costs, market demand, and inflation could shift trader expectations. Announcements about special editions, deluxe versions, or bundling strategies will influence whether the base PS5 price lands at expected price points. Broader economic conditions and consumer sentiment toward premium game pricing also drive market movement.