TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
polymarket

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

Volume:
$43,739

Iran

 - Polymarket

Iran - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 3, 2026

Closed: May 2, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Iran

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stock

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Donald / Trump

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$1,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deal

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Artificial Intelligence / AI

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oil

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Israel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Powell

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hegseth

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Warsh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Maduro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon / Musk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zohran / Mamdani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ukraine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

S&P

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hezbollah

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI / ChatGPT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthropic / Claude

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, usage of that hyphenated compound qualifies. (E.g. if the listed term is NATO, pro-NATO and anti-NATO qualify.) The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/