TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?

Volume:
$177,112

6,800 to 6,824.9999

 - Kalshi

6,800 to 6,824.9999 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6,800 to 6,824.9999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,583
N/A
N/A
$9,789
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $680

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $660

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $675

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $665

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $670

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $655

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

6,825 to 6,849.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,876
N/A
N/A
$13,002
Settled
No
kalshi

6,224.9999 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,028
N/A
N/A
$12,138
Settled
No
kalshi

6,775 to 6,799.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,389
N/A
N/A
$7,298
Settled
No
kalshi

6,850 to 6,874.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,075
N/A
N/A
$5,420
Settled
No
kalshi

6,750 to 6,774.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,811
N/A
N/A
$4,099
Settled
No
kalshi

6,600 to 6,624.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
$5,302
Settled
No
kalshi

6,575 to 6,599.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,212
N/A
N/A
$3,435
Settled
No
kalshi

6,875 to 6,899.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,344
N/A
N/A
$2,921
Settled
No
kalshi

6,700 to 6,724.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,143
N/A
N/A
$4,635
Settled
No
kalshi

6,725 to 6,749.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,995
N/A
N/A
$3,775
Settled
No
kalshi

6,550 to 6,574.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,201
N/A
N/A
$3,207
Settled
No
kalshi

6,625 to 6,649.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,076
N/A
N/A
$2,933
Settled
No
kalshi

6,925 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,810
N/A
N/A
$2,653
Settled
No
kalshi

6,675 to 6,699.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,428
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $690

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $685

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

6,400 to 6,424.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,195
N/A
N/A
$2,091
Settled
No
kalshi

6,900 to 6,924.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,826
N/A
N/A
$1,444
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

These markets track whether the S&P 500 (SPY) will reach specific price levels during the week of April 6, 2026. Polymarket offers granular HIGH and LOW price targets using 1-minute candle data from Pyth, while Kalshi provides a single end-of-day index settlement value on April 10, 2026 across 30 discrete price bands.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement events: Polymarket tracks intraday price extremes (HIGH/LOW) across a full trading week using 1-minute candles on SPY; Kalshi tracks a single end-of-day index close on April 10, 2026. The assets (SPY ETF vs. S&P 500 index) and price scales also differ.Hero tip: These markets are not directly comparable or hedgeable against each other. Polymarket rewards catching any price spike or dip during the week; Kalshi rewards predicting the exact closing level on one day. Choose based on your view: do you expect volatility and price touches (Polymarket) or a specific closing price (Kalshi)? Also note SPY trades at roughly 1/10th the S&P 500 index value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if any 1-minute candle for SPY reaches the target HIGH or LOW price during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) at any point during the week of April 6, 2026. Uses Pyth as primary source; falls back to official exchange daily high/low if Pyth data is unavailable. Prices are exact and split-adjusted. Covers 9 HIGH targets ($690, $685, $680, $675, $670, $665, $660) and 8 LOW targets ($655, $650, $645, $640, $635, $630, $625).
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES based on the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on April 10, 2026 only. Covers 30 contiguous price bands spanning from below 6225 to above 6924.9999 in 25-point increments. Each band resolves independently; exactly one band will resolve YES. No intraday or weekly range measurement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.