TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for MrBeast’s potential statements reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of possibilities than traditional polls or individual analyst predictions, as traders weigh various factors and potential scenarios. While analysts might focus on likely themes based on MrBeast’s past videos, the market incorporates a wider spectrum of potential content, including unexpected announcements or collaborations. This dynamic interplay can highlight areas where the wisdom of the crowd diverges from, or confirms, expert assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each potential statement. The price of a share reflects the probability of that statement being uttered by MrBeast, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each prediction, based on the aggregated views of market participants. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest in each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once MrBeast’s next YouTube video is publicly released and the content of his statements is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which statement, if any, from the listed possibilities was actually spoken by MrBeast during the video. The resolution will be based on a direct transcription of the video’s audio and subtitles, ensuring an objective assessment of the outcome. Traders should monitor the release of the video to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any official teasers or previews released by MrBeast or his team regarding the content of his next video would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major news announcements related to MrBeast, such as collaborations with other prominent figures or significant philanthropic endeavors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected trends on social media or viral challenges could prompt traders to reassess the likelihood of certain statements, and even the timing of the video’s release itself could impact the market.