TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Prediction market odds aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, often capturing signals faster than traditional analyst surveys. While entertainment analysts may rely on historical patterns or insider commentary, this market reflects dynamic pricing as new clips, social media hints, or production updates surface. Traders with direct knowledge or strong pattern recognition can move odds significantly, sometimes diverging from conventional media predictions. The continuous price discovery mechanism means odds tend to converge toward accuracy as resolution approaches, offering a complementary view to static forecasts.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that balances supply and demand for each outcome share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each potential statement or phrase is represented as a separate contract, with prices ranging from near zero to near one dollar, reflecting implied probability. As traders buy shares they believe are underpriced or sell those they view as overvalued, the market continuously reprices. Liquidity pools and order books allow participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once MrBeast's next YouTube video is published and the content becomes publicly available for verification. The outcome is determined by comparing his actual statements in the video against the predefined options listed in the market. Resolution occurs after credible public sources confirm which phrase or statement was genuinely spoken, ensuring all traders have equal access to the same information. Early resolution is possible if the video drops before the deadline.
Leaked clips, behind-the-scenes social media posts, or MrBeast's own teaser content can shift odds significantly as traders gain new information about the video's theme or tone. Announcements about collaboration partners, sponsorships, or special formats may hint at certain catchphrases or recurring statements. Competitor activity or trending entertainment news can also influence expectations around what he might emphasize. As the upload date approaches, any official hints or production updates will likely trigger sharp repricing, with final volatility often occurring in the hours immediately before publication.