TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether MrBeast will use the word "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next full-length YouTube video. On Polymarket, the probability of this outcome occurring stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by reviewing the video posted to MrBeast's official YouTube channel at youtube.com/@MrBeast, with any usage of the term counting regardless of context, including pluralization and compound words. Watch for MrBeast's next video release, as the market resolves to "No" if no such video is posted by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader consensus rather than traditional analyst forecasts. Entertainment analysts rarely publish formal predictions about specific YouTube creator dialogue, making direct comparison difficult. However, the market's current odds represent aggregated bets from thousands of participants with financial incentive to forecast accurately. This crowd-sourced approach often captures emerging signals faster than conventional media analysis, particularly for niche entertainment content tied to individual creator behavior and upload timing.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution depends on whether MrBeast publishes a new YouTube video before that date and whether the predicted phrase or statement appears in it. The specific outcome criteria are determined at market creation and verified against the published video content. Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule and video descriptions leading up to the deadline, as timing and content choices directly influence which outcomes settle as correct.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. MrBeast's announcement of upcoming video themes or collaborations may hint at likely dialogue. Changes in his brand partnerships or product launches could increase or decrease the probability of specific phrases appearing. Social media teasers or community discussions about anticipated content may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, the timing of his next upload—whether imminent or delayed—affects urgency and conviction in the market. Real-time engagement metrics from his channel also provide signals about content direction.