TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dollar 5+ times
- Polymarket
Dollar 5+ times - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 25, 2026
Closed: Jun 20, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
MrBeast Gaming releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on his gaming channel on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next gaming video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
MrBeast Gaming releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on his gaming channel on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next gaming video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-time trader behavior rather than expert opinion alone. In this market, odds reflect what thousands of participants collectively believe MrBeast will say, incorporating social media trends, his past video patterns, and community speculation. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, rely on smaller sample sizes and may lag behind rapidly shifting cultural moments. Prediction markets typically update faster and incorporate a broader information set, though both approaches have merit depending on your confidence in crowd wisdom versus expert analysis.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares tied to each potential quote outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate—a share trading at 0.65 implies roughly a 65% chance that outcome occurs. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust; higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery. Participants profit by correctly predicting which statement will appear, incentivizing accurate forecasting and continuous price refinement as the video release approaches.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once MrBeast's next gaming video is published and verifiable from credible public sources. The winning quote or phrase is determined by reviewing the video content and matching it against the predefined outcomes listed in the market. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for the video to be widely accessible and fact-checked by the community, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Announcements about the video's release date or theme would influence trader expectations. Social media hints or behind-the-scenes clips from MrBeast could narrow the field of likely quotes. Trending topics or viral moments in gaming culture might increase the probability of certain catchphrases appearing. Additionally, if MrBeast collaborates with specific creators or plays particular games, community discussion could reprice outcomes based on those collaborators' typical dialogue patterns. Real-time updates and community sentiment play a major role in price movement.
