TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Mask Off
- Kalshi
Mask Off - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 13, 2026
Closed: Jun 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event concerns whether Future will perform any of his popular songs during the opening ceremony of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, which will be held in the United States. The resolution depends on whether the rapper takes the stage to perform one or more of his hit tracks before June 13, 2026.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on whether Future performs each specified song at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Opening Ceremony in the USA before June 13, 2026. A valid performance requires Future to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody live, or play an instrument performing the recognizable melody, riff, or musical structure live. Pre-recorded audio or video playback without simultaneous live contribution does not qualify. Medleys, mashups, and partial performances count as Yes. Guest appearances count if Future actively participates in performing the song. If the ceremony is postponed to a date before the deadline, the market remains open for the rescheduled event. If the ceremony is cancelled entirely, rescheduled after the deadline, or Future withdraws, all markets resolve to No. Soundchecks and rehearsals do not count. Each of the eight song outcomes resolves independently.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract: traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief that Future will perform 'Low Life' at the opening ceremony. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the consensus probability among active traders on that venue. As new information surfaces—such as official ceremony lineup announcements or artist statements—the price adjusts in real time. Traders profit if their position aligns with the eventual resolution outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 20, 2026, following the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Opening Ceremony in the USA. Resolution hinges on whether Future actually performs 'Low Life' during the official ceremony broadcast. Outcome determination relies on verified video evidence and official ceremony documentation. Traders should monitor official FIFA announcements, the host nation's cultural committee statements, and real-time ceremony coverage to assess resolution likelihood as the event approaches.
Key catalysts include official FIFA announcements of the opening ceremony lineup, Future's public statements or social media posts about World Cup involvement, and confirmations from the USA's host committee. Media reports of rehearsals or artist contracts could shift trader sentiment significantly. Closer to Jun 20, 2026, leaked setlists or pre-ceremony interviews with performers become critical signals. Any competing performance announcements or scheduling conflicts involving Future may also influence market pricing as traders reassess the probability of 'Low Life' being performed.
