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406,422

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$187,980

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,377
N/A
N/A
$36,499
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$17,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,789
N/A
N/A
$39,324
Settled
No
kalshi

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,442
N/A
N/A
$25,342
Settled
No
polymarket

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lets Marry Harry: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,827
N/A
N/A
$11,528
Settled
No
polymarket

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,237
N/A
N/A
$3,237
Settled
No
polymarket

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Hawk: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
$2,547
Settled
No
polymarket

The Hawk: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - July 27, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,421
N/A
N/A
$2,421
Settled
No
polymarket

Alley Cats: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Elite Force: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
$1,141
Settled
No
kalshi

I Will Find You: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$1,080
Settled
No
polymarket

I Will Find You: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$881
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
polymarket

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Our Sticky Love: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

Ransom Canyon: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$263
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group tracks which show will rank #1 on the US Netflix Top 10 TV shows list for the week ending August 11, 2026. Markets resolve based on Netflix's official ranking published on August 11, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same primary data source (Netflix Top 10 US Show chart) with consistent tie-breaking rules (alphabetical order). The only divergence is Polymarket's "Other" fallback for delayed publication.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 11, 2026 at top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Check Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 11, 2026
  • Identify the show ranked #1; if tied, select the alphabetically first title
  • Polymarket: If chart not published by August 14, 2026, resolve to "Other"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Delayed Publication: Polymarket resolves to "Other" if Netflix delays the chart past August 14, 2026; Kalshi markets remain open until chart publishes
  • Tie for #1: The show whose title comes first alphabetically wins all markets
Timing: Resolution occurs when Netflix publishes the Top 10 US Show chart on August 11, 2026; Polymarket has a fallback deadline of August 14, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified show ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 11, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart publication. Netflix has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Netflix are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement by Netflix.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the top US Netflix show market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different titles claiming the weekly streaming crown. It displays current probabilities, volume of $187,980, and 24-hour volume at $28,906, letting users compare sentiment across venues. Because this market pulls from several prediction markets, the dashboard offers a consensus view of which show might dominate U.S. viewership, updated constantly as bets shift.