TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Prediction market odds on this market reflect real-money trader positioning and differ from traditional analyst forecasts in that they incorporate continuous market feedback rather than static predictions. While entertainment analysts may publish weekly viewership estimates or rankings based on industry data, traders here are directly wagering on the actual outcome, creating dynamic pricing that adjusts as new information emerges. This market-driven approach often captures sentiment shifts faster than periodic analyst reports, though both sources can inform your view of which show will lead the rankings.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each show's probability of becoming the top US Netflix program, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders; as demand for a particular show's shares increases, its price rises, and vice versa. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, allowing you to profit from accurate predictions or hedge your exposure as new viewership data and industry developments emerge.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the weekly Netflix rankings are verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome will be determined by which show officially ranks as the top program on Netflix's US platform for the specified week. Resolution depends on official Netflix data or widely reported viewership metrics that establish the definitive leader, ensuring all traders have a clear, objective result.
Several factors can shift odds in this market, including new episode releases, celebrity news or controversies involving cast members, social media momentum, and real-time viewership reports from industry trackers. Major platform announcements, competitive show launches, and critical reviews can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, early-week Netflix Top 10 data or third-party viewership estimates may prompt repricing as traders update their forecasts. Unexpected cancellations or production delays affecting competing shows could similarly reshape the competitive landscape and market odds.