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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$231,861

The Last House

 - Kalshi

The Last House - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Last House

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,263
N/A
N/A
$27,867
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Last House

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72 HOURS

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,959
N/A
N/A
$61,589
Settled
No
polymarket

72 Hours

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

A Quiet Place: Day One

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,042
N/A
N/A
$20,042
Settled
No
polymarket

A Quiet Place: Day One

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

A Toxic Love Story

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,260
N/A
N/A
$18,260
Settled
No
polymarket

A Toxic Love Story

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Homecoming

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,957
N/A
N/A
$13,957
Settled
No
polymarket

Spider-Man: Homecoming

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,525
N/A
N/A
$9,116
Settled
No
polymarket

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$3,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Ordinary Angels

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,935
N/A
N/A
$1,935
Settled
No
polymarket

Ordinary Angels

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Debt Collector

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
$1,389
Settled
No
polymarket

The Debt Collector

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Five Nights at Freddy's 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
$544
Settled
No
kalshi

The Boss Baby

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group tracks which movie will rank #1 on the US Netflix Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on Netflix's official ranking, with specific rules for tie-breaking and late updates.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same primary source: Netflix's official US Top 10 Movies list published on August 11, 2026, with consistent tie-breaking and fallback rules.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Movies list published on top10.netflix.com on August 11, 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • The winning movie is the one ranked #1 on Netflix's official US Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 11, 2026.
  • If multiple movies tie for #1, the movie whose title comes first alphabetically wins.
  • If the Netflix Top 10 list is not updated by August 14, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent fallback options.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie-Breaker: If two or more movies tie for #1, the movie with the alphabetically first title wins.
  • Late Update: If Netflix fails to publish the Top 10 list by August 14, 2026, the market resolves to "Other" or the equivalent fallback option.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Netflix Top 10 US Movies list is published on August 11, 2026, with a deadline of August 14, 2026, for fallback conditions.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specified movie ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 11, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. No endorsement from Netflix is implied, and all references serve only descriptive purposes. The consistent secondary rules across all markets ensure uniform timing and disclaimer application, making the primary determination of chart position the sole resolving factor for each market's outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, odds reflect crowd-sourced expectations and can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on different data sets or models. This market often reacts faster to real-time sentiment and betting trends, capturing shifts in viewer interest that analysts might not immediately incorporate. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes preview or contrast with analyst predictions for the top movie.