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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$197,532

Thrash

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Thrash

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,016
N/A
N/A
$41,383
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Thrash

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Roommates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,290
N/A
N/A
$24,041
Settled
No
kalshi

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,062
N/A
N/A
$10,062
Settled
No
polymarket

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,635
N/A
N/A
$8,635
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,314
N/A
N/A
$6,207
Settled
No
polymarket

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Him

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,545
N/A
N/A
$4,545
Settled
No
kalshi

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,871
N/A
N/A
$3,871
Settled
No
polymarket

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

180

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,229
N/A
N/A
$2,961
Settled
No
kalshi

The Fifth Element

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,608
N/A
N/A
$2,608
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,156
N/A
N/A
$2,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Beast (English)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,814
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
polymarket

Beast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Halloween Ends

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,568
N/A
N/A
$1,568
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
No
polymarket

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
polymarket

A Quiet Place Part II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ronaldinho: The One and Only

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$571
Settled
No
kalshi

Wrinkles the Clown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event group predicts which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies list for a given week. Resolution depends on Netflix's official weekly rankings, which are typically published every Tuesday and reflect viewing data from the prior week (Monday–Sunday). The winner is the film occupying the top position on Netflix's publicly displayed chart.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses placeholder movie titles (Movie A through Movie K) alongside real titles, creating ambiguity about which specific films are being tracked. Kalshi lists 19 concrete movie titles with clear resolution criteria. The Polymarket structure suggests incomplete or redacted data that prevents precise matching with Kalshi's explicit outcomes.Hero tip: If trading on Polymarket, clarify what Movie A, B, C, etc. actually represent before committing capital. On Kalshi, the 19 named movies provide explicit resolution paths, but Polymarket's placeholder naming means you may be betting on an undefined outcome. Cross-reference Polymarket's full market descriptions to decode the placeholder titles before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket lists 22 questions including real movie titles (Jumanji, Anaconda, Beast, Untold: Jail Blazers, etc.) but also includes 11 placeholder titles (Movie A through Movie K) and one undefined title (A Quiet Place Part II). Resolution is based on Netflix Top 10 ranking published April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, with fallback to 'Other' if update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key quote: 'Will another movie be the top US Netflix movie this week?' suggests a catch-all category.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi provides 19 explicit binary markets, each tied to a specific named movie (Jumanji, The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Thrash, Beast, The Fifth Element, KPop Demon Hunters, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Anaconda, Black and Blue, Madagascar, Halloween Ends, Wrinkles the Clown, Roommates, A Gorilla Story, Him, Ronaldinho: The One and Only, Untold: Jail Blazers, 180, Noah Kahan: Out of Body). Each resolves YES if that movie is #1 on Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published April 21, 2026. No placeholder titles or undefined outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.