TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Volume:
$197,532
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group predicts which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies list for a given week. Resolution depends on Netflix's official weekly rankings, which are typically published every Tuesday and reflect viewing data from the prior week (Monday–Sunday). The winner is the film occupying the top position on Netflix's publicly displayed chart.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses placeholder movie titles (Movie A through Movie K) alongside real titles, creating ambiguity about which specific films are being tracked. Kalshi lists 19 concrete movie titles with clear resolution criteria. The Polymarket structure suggests incomplete or redacted data that prevents precise matching with Kalshi's explicit outcomes.Hero Tip:
If trading on Polymarket, clarify what Movie A, B, C, etc. actually represent before committing capital. On Kalshi, the 19 named movies provide explicit resolution paths, but Polymarket's placeholder naming means you may be betting on an undefined outcome. Cross-reference Polymarket's full market descriptions to decode the placeholder titles before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Polymarket lists 22 questions including real movie titles (Jumanji, Anaconda, Beast, Untold: Jail Blazers, etc.) but also includes 11 placeholder titles (Movie A through Movie K) and one undefined title (A Quiet Place Part II). Resolution is based on Netflix Top 10 ranking published April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, with fallback to 'Other' if update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key quote: 'Will another movie be the top US Netflix movie this week?' suggests a catch-all category.
- Kalshi: Kalshi provides 19 explicit binary markets, each tied to a specific named movie (Jumanji, The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Thrash, Beast, The Fifth Element, KPop Demon Hunters, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Anaconda, Black and Blue, Madagascar, Halloween Ends, Wrinkles the Clown, Roommates, A Gorilla Story, Him, Ronaldinho: The One and Only, Untold: Jail Blazers, 180, Noah Kahan: Out of Body). Each resolves YES if that movie is #1 on Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published April 21, 2026. No placeholder titles or undefined outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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