TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Generally, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on reviews, historical data, and industry trends, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential surprises. Often, this market can provide a more accurate forecast, as traders are incentivized to make correct predictions. However, it's important to note that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise based on differing methodologies and information access.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that show being the top global Netflix show. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders buy shares in a particular show, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top global Netflix show for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a widely recognized and trusted third-party source tracking global streaming statistics. The show with the highest total hours viewed globally during the specified week will be considered the winner of this market, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected critical acclaim or negative reviews for newly released shows could shift trader sentiment. Major marketing pushes by Netflix for specific series, or viral social media trends surrounding a particular show, could also influence the odds. Furthermore, the release of viewership numbers for competing shows during the week could provide valuable information and cause traders to adjust their positions. Any unexpected news or events related to the featured shows could also lead to volatility in this market.
