TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 5:27 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of viewer sentiment. Analysts may weigh factors like release timing and genre trends, while traders price in real-time reactions and buzz. The gap between these two can widen if unexpected events — like a viral clip or award nomination — shift public interest sharply. Still, both sources often highlight the same front-runner early in the week.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Netflix will release weekly viewership data, and the show with the highest global streams during that period wins. The result is settled based on officially published metrics, ensuring transparency and alignment with real-world audience behavior at that moment.
Between now and resolution, this market can shift dramatically on news like surprise episode drops, celebrity endorsements, or social media trends highlighting a contender. Major publicity stunts, platform-exclusive promotions, or even a sudden surge in binge-watching conversations can all sway trader sentiment. Weekly viewership previews or leaked ranking hints may also cause rapid price swings as bettors adjust their positions ahead of the final count.