TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
Description
This event group tracks which show will rank #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list for the week ending August 11, 2026. Markets resolve based on Netflix's official ranking published on August 11, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the same primary source (Netflix's official ranking) with identical tie-breaking rules and timeout conditions.Primary resolution logic: Netflix's official global Top 10 TV shows list published on August 11, 2026Core resolution logic:
- The market resolves to Yes if the specified show is ranked #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list published on August 11, 2026
- If multiple shows tie for #1, the show whose title comes first alphabetically wins
- If Netflix does not publish the ranking by August 14, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Timeout: If Netflix fails to publish the ranking by August 14, 2026, all markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
- Alphabetical Tie: If multiple shows tie for #1, the show with the alphabetically earliest title wins
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified show ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on August 11, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. No endorsement or affiliation between Netflix and the market operator is implied through these references. All markets share identical secondary rules governing timing and disclaimer language.
Frequently asked questions
Key signals that could shift odds include early viewership leaks, social media trends, celebrity endorsements, or unexpected marketing pushes from Netflix. Any surge in streaming activity early in the week, or a major media story highlighting a specific show, may cause rapid repricing. Traders will also watch competitor releases that might split audience attention.