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400,720

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30,097

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What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$100,877

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

 - Polymarket

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

I Will Find You: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,569
N/A
N/A
$20,156
Settled
No
polymarket

I Will Find You: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Hawk: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,957
N/A
N/A
$19,185
Settled
No
polymarket

The Hawk: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,419
N/A
N/A
$12,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,218
N/A
N/A
$4,579
Settled
No
polymarket

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stokes Twins: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,361
N/A
N/A
$4,361
Settled
No
kalshi

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,471
N/A
N/A
$3,176
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - July 20, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,465
N/A
N/A
$2,465
Settled
No
kalshi

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,199
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
No
kalshi

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,757
N/A
N/A
$1,309
Settled
No
polymarket

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannibal: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elite Force: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$778
N/A
N/A
$777
Settled
No
polymarket

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group tracks predictions about which Netflix show will rank #1 globally for the week ending August 4, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on Netflix's official Top 10 Global TV Shows list.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently resolve based on Netflix's official Top 10 Global TV Shows list published on August 4, 2026, with specific tie-breaking and timing rules for Polymarket.Primary resolution logic: Netflix's official Top 10 Global TV Shows list at top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the show ranked #1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 TV Shows list published on August 4, 2026.
  • For Polymarket, if multiple shows tie for #1, the show whose title comes first alphabetically wins.
  • If the Netflix Top 10 list is not updated by August 7, 2026, Polymarket's "The Idaho Murders" market resolves to "Other".

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Alphabetical Tie-Breaker: In Polymarket, if multiple shows tie for #1, the show with the title that comes first alphabetically wins.
  • Late Update: If Netflix does not update its Top 10 list by August 7, 2026, Polymarket's "The Idaho Murders" market resolves to "Other", while Kalshi markets remain pending until the list is published.
Timing: Resolution occurs after Netflix publishes its Top 10 Global TV Shows list on August 4, 2026, with a deadline of August 7, 2026 for Polymarket's "The Idaho Murders" market.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specified Netflix show ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on August 4, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. These markets are independent and unaffiliated with Netflix, using the platform's branding descriptively rather than endorsementally.