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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$38,664

Why Did I Get Married Again?

 - Polymarket

Why Did I Get Married Again? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 4:58 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Why Did I Get Married Again?

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$6,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Whisper Man

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,198
N/A
N/A
$8,900
Settled
No
polymarket

The Whisper Man

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,509
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
polymarket

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shrek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,444
N/A
N/A
$1,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
polymarket

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anacondas: Trail of Blood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
No
kalshi

13 Minutes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
$496
Settled
No
polymarket

The Secret Woman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shrek 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
polymarket

Those Who Wish Me Dead

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Last House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

The Angry Birds Movie 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
No
kalshi

The Hard Corps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This group asks forecasters to predict which movie will be the most popular on Netflix globally for a given week. Resolution depends on the official Netflix Top 10 list, which ranks movies by total viewing hours.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists specific movies that resolve 'Yes', while Polymarket asks a general question about a single movie being #1. Polymarket also includes a tie-breaking rule and a cancellation condition absent from Kalshi.Hero tip: Pay close attention to the Netflix Top 10 list. On Polymarket, consider alphabetical order in case of ties. Be mindful of the cancellation date on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the #1 movie on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movies list, with ties broken alphabetically. Will resolve to 'Other' if the Netflix update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. "If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if *any* of a pre-defined list of movies is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart. No tie-breaking rule is explicitly stated. "If The Whisper Man is #1...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specific movie ranks #1 on Netflix's Top 10 Global Movie chart for the week ending the Sunday before September 15, 2026. The chart is published on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, and all markets close at 11:59 PM ET the preceding Monday. Only the movie achieving the highest position on that chart determines the resolving outcome — if it matches the market's named movie, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the market operator; references to Netflix are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks predictions about which movie will be the most popular on Netflix globally during a specific week. The dashboard aggregates trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the leading contenders. Currently, combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $38,664, with $7,831 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects significant interest in forecasting entertainment trends. The dashboard helps visualize how opinions shift as new information emerges, offering a dynamic perspective on the global Netflix movie market.

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically rely on pre-release buzz, star power, and genre trends, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. The real-time price discovery process in this market can incorporate a wider range of data points and adapt quickly to changing circumstances. While analyst opinions can be valuable, the financial stake held by traders in this market frequently leads to more accurate forecasts, especially as the event draws closer.