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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$69,726

The Last House

 - Kalshi

The Last House - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Last House

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,315
N/A
N/A
$7,700
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Last House

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$9,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72 HOURS

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,649
N/A
N/A
$22,499
Settled
No
polymarket

72 Hours

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Homecoming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,927
N/A
N/A
$3,907
Settled
No
kalshi

A Toxic Love Story

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,868
N/A
N/A
$2,868
Settled
No
polymarket

A Toxic Love Story

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

War Machine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

War Machine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
$1,007
Settled
No
polymarket

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Swapped

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Swapped

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Voicemails for Isabelle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
No
polymarket

Voicemails for Isabelle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Five Nights at Freddy's 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Take Shelter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Take Shelter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
polymarket

Kung Fu Panda 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kung Fu Panda 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$344
Settled
No
kalshi

Ordinary Angels

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group tracks which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 11, 2026. Markets resolve based on Netflix's official ranking published on top10.netflix.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same primary data source (Netflix's official Top 10 list) and tie-breaking rule (alphabetical order).Primary resolution logic: Netflix's official Global Top 10 Movies list at top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The winning movie is the one ranked #1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies list published on August 11, 2026
  • If multiple movies tie for #1, the alphabetically first title wins
  • If Netflix does not update the list by August 14, 2026, all markets resolve to 'Other'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: If two or more movies tie for #1, the movie whose title comes first alphabetically wins
  • Update Failure: If Netflix fails to publish the Top 10 list by August 14, 2026, all markets resolve to 'Other'
Timing: Resolution occurs after Netflix publishes the Global Top 10 Movies list on August 11, 2026, with a deadline of August 14, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether a specified movie appears as the number one title on Netflix's Top 10 Global Movie chart for the week ending the Sunday before August 11, 2026. The chart is published on Tuesday, August 11, meaning markets close at 11:59 PM ET on Monday, August 10. Only the single weekly chart determines resolution, with each market exclusively evaluating its named film's position. All markets explicitly state they are not endorsed by Netflix, using the streaming service's name and branding purely for descriptive purposes related to chart data verification.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the top Netflix movie market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It tracks how traders on different prediction markets price the likelihood of various titles claiming the top spot globally this week. By consolidating feeds, the dashboard offers a consensus view that reflects collective wisdom around short-term viewer preferences and release momentum.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute marketing pushes, unexpected viral moments from celebrities, or surprise drops of new episodes that boost viewership. Weekly streaming charts released by Netflix, social media trends, and major media coverage in the days leading to resolution can also dramatically alter trader sentiment and reshape odds before settlement.