TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which film will rank as the number one movie globally on Netflix based on total views for the week. Ladies First currently has a 97.5% probability of claiming the top spot on Polymarket, with Dead Man's Wire at 1.5%. Resolution will be determined by Netflix's official global Top 10 movies ranking published on top10.netflix.com. Watch for Netflix's scheduled update on Tuesday, June 2, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, which will reveal the final weekly rankings based on viewership data from the prior seven days.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, marking the end of the tracking period for global Netflix viewership rankings. Resolution is determined by Netflix's official top movies list for that week, which ranks films by total hours viewed worldwide. The outcome is binary for each title: if that movie holds the number-one position on Netflix's published rankings at resolution time, the contract resolves to yes; otherwise, it resolves to no. Only one movie can occupy the top spot, so exactly one outcome contract will pay out per market.
Early viewership data releases, social media momentum, and word-of-mouth buzz can shift trader conviction significantly. Major celebrity news, critical reviews, or unexpected plot spoilers may boost or dampen interest in competing titles. Netflix's own promotional pushes, featured homepage placement, and regional release timing all influence viewing patterns. International markets opening access to a previously unavailable film can trigger rapid probability swings. Additionally, competing releases from other streaming platforms or theatrical debuts may cannibalize viewers. Traders monitor all these signals in real time, repricing odds as new information emerges throughout the week.