TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$10,714

Ladies First

 - Polymarket

Ladies First - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ladies First

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Crash

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Swapped

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dead Man's Wire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

GOAT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

In Her Shoes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stolen Baby: The Murder of Heidi Broussard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold UK: Vinnie Jones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Remarkably Bright Creatures

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Theory of Everything

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie I

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie J

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks which film will rank as the number one movie globally on Netflix based on total views for the week. Ladies First currently has a 97.5% probability of claiming the top spot on Polymarket, with Dead Man's Wire at 1.5%. Resolution will be determined by Netflix's official global Top 10 movies ranking published on top10.netflix.com. Watch for Netflix's scheduled update on Tuesday, June 2, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, which will reveal the final weekly rankings based on viewership data from the prior seven days.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or Netflix's own promotional messaging. While entertainment analysts may rely on review scores, star power, or marketing spend, prediction markets price in actual viewer behavior and emerging viewership patterns. The current market consensus can shift rapidly as early viewing data emerges, sometimes moving ahead of or contradicting analyst predictions. This makes prediction markets a dynamic alternative lens for anticipating which film will claim the top spot globally.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, marking the end of the tracking period for global Netflix viewership rankings. Resolution is determined by Netflix's official top movies list for that week, which ranks films by total hours viewed worldwide. The outcome is binary for each title: if that movie holds the number-one position on Netflix's published rankings at resolution time, the contract resolves to yes; otherwise, it resolves to no. Only one movie can occupy the top spot, so exactly one outcome contract will pay out per market.

Early viewership data releases, social media momentum, and word-of-mouth buzz can shift trader conviction significantly. Major celebrity news, critical reviews, or unexpected plot spoilers may boost or dampen interest in competing titles. Netflix's own promotional pushes, featured homepage placement, and regional release timing all influence viewing patterns. International markets opening access to a previously unavailable film can trigger rapid probability swings. Additionally, competing releases from other streaming platforms or theatrical debuts may cannibalize viewers. Traders monitor all these signals in real time, repricing odds as new information emerges throughout the week.