TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
The Night Agent: Season 3
- Kalshi
The Night Agent: Season 3 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Mar 4, 2026
Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,903
N/A
N/A
$1,807
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28
Description
This event group determines which show will rank #2 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as published on March 3, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying fact: Netflix's official ranking for that specific date. The resolution depends on Netflix's viewership data for the week ending March 2, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket uses undefined placeholder identifiers (Show A through Show K) that lack explicit mapping to actual show titles, while Kalshi names 10 specific shows. This creates a data integrity failure: it is impossible to determine whether a Polymarket placeholder resolves YES or NO without external clarification. Additionally, Polymarket includes an Other/fallback resolution path and a catch-all market for unmapped shows, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Do not trade Polymarket markets using placeholder names (Show A, Show C, Show D, Show E, Show F, Show G, Show H, Show I, Show J, Show K) until the platform publishes an official mapping to actual Netflix show titles. Use Kalshi's explicitly named markets as the ground truth. If you hold Polymarket positions, request clarification from Polymarket support on the placeholder-to-show mapping before March 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Includes 19 markets, many using coded placeholders (Show A, Show B, Show C, Show D, Show E, Show F, Show G, Show H, Show I, Show J, Show K) without explicit title mapping. Also includes named shows (Reality Check, Love is Blind: Ohio, The Night Agent, Bridgerton, The Lincoln Lawyer) and a catch-all market for another show. Fallback: resolves to Other if Netflix does not publish by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Kalshi: Includes 10 markets, each tied to a specific named show (The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4, Bridgerton: Season 4, Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1, Famous Last Words: Eric Dane, Sommore: Chandelier Fly, Raw: 2026, Love Is Blind: Ohio, The Night Agent: Season 3, The Hunting Party: Season 1, Katt Williams: The Last Report). Each resolves YES if that show ranks #2 on March 3, 2026 chart. No fallback or Other option.