TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$40,479
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which show will rank #2 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as published on March 3, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying fact: Netflix's official ranking for that specific date. The resolution depends on Netflix's viewership data for the week ending March 2, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses undefined placeholder identifiers (Show A through Show K) that lack explicit mapping to actual show titles, while Kalshi names 10 specific shows. This creates a data integrity failure: it is impossible to determine whether a Polymarket placeholder resolves YES or NO without external clarification. Additionally, Polymarket includes an Other/fallback resolution path and a catch-all market for unmapped shows, while Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Polymarket markets using placeholder names (Show A, Show C, Show D, Show E, Show F, Show G, Show H, Show I, Show J, Show K) until the platform publishes an official mapping to actual Netflix show titles. Use Kalshi's explicitly named markets as the ground truth. If you hold Polymarket positions, request clarification from Polymarket support on the placeholder-to-show mapping before March 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Includes 19 markets, many using coded placeholders (Show A, Show B, Show C, Show D, Show E, Show F, Show G, Show H, Show I, Show J, Show K) without explicit title mapping. Also includes named shows (Reality Check, Love is Blind: Ohio, The Night Agent, Bridgerton, The Lincoln Lawyer) and a catch-all market for another show. Fallback: resolves to Other if Netflix does not publish by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Kalshi: Includes 10 markets, each tied to a specific named show (The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4, Bridgerton: Season 4, Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1, Famous Last Words: Eric Dane, Sommore: Chandelier Fly, Raw: 2026, Love Is Blind: Ohio, The Night Agent: Season 3, The Hunting Party: Season 1, Katt Williams: The Last Report). Each resolves YES if that show ranks #2 on March 3, 2026 chart. No fallback or Other option.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.