TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Tires: Season 3
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 25, 2026
Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
Description
This event group predicts which television show will rank #2 on the US Netflix Top 10 list for the week ending August 25, 2026. The resolution depends on Netflix's official chart published on August 25, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the same official Netflix Top 10 US TV Shows chart published on August 25, 2026, using identical ranking and tie-breaking rules.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US TV Shows chart published on top10.netflix.com on August 25, 2026Core resolution logic:
- The market resolves based on the show occupying the #2 position on Netflix's official US TV Shows Top 10 chart published on August 25, 2026
- If multiple shows are tied for #2, the show listed first alphabetically wins
- If no chart update occurs by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Chart Update Failure: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 chart by August 28, 2026, all markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcome
- Tie at #2: When multiple shows tie for the #2 position, the show listed first alphabetically wins the resolution
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
The event determines which television show occupies the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific show, and the outcome resolves to 'Yes' for the market associated with the show that actually ranks #2, with all other markets resolving to 'No.' The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, and all markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. It is important to note that these markets and products are not endorsed by Netflix; any references to Netflix are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. The resolution depends solely on the official Netflix chart data for the specified date.