TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Ransom Canyon: Season 2
- Polymarket
Ransom Canyon: Season 2 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Closed: Aug 4, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Analyst forecasts for the US Netflix #2 show market often differ from real-time prediction market odds. Experts may highlight titles based on historical viewership trends, while traders on Polymarket incorporate live betting patterns and sentiment shifts. This market reflects crowd-sourced expectations that can diverge from institutional analyses due to rapid changes in viewer preferences or surprise releases. Comparing both sources offers a fuller picture of anticipated popularity versus measured industry opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Netflix rankings for that week will determine the #2 U.S. show, and the market will close based on publicly available viewership data from reliable entertainment news sources and Netflix’s own announcements.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include strong social media buzz around specific titles, weekend release spikes, or unexpected drops in viewership for current favorites. Awards nominations, critical reviews, and streaming platform promotions may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute content surges or controversies in the week leading up to Aug 4, 2026 are likely to create volatility and change probabilities dramatically.
