TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$260,892
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group predicts which show will rank #2 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as of the chart published on February 24, 2026. Both platforms reference the same official Netflix ranking source and resolution date, with Kalshi listing 13 possible outcomes and Polymarket offering individual binary markets for specific shows plus an 'other' catch-all option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the same official Netflix Top 10 ranking published February 24, 2026 as the sole resolution source, with identical scope (US shows, #2 position) and timing.
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Top 10 TV shows list (top10.netflix.com) published February 24, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show Netflix officially ranks as #2 on its US Top 10 TV shows chart
- The ranking reflects total views in the United States during the previous week (Monday to Sunday prior to publication)
- Kalshi resolves YES if any of its 13 listed shows appears in the #2 position
- Polymarket resolves YES for the specific show market matching the #2 position, or to 'Other' if none of the listed shows rank #2
- If Netflix does not publish the update by February 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi outcome undefined but presumed unresolvable
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Publication Failure: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 update by February 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not specify a contingency; this represents a minor procedural gap but does not affect the core resolution logic.
- Show Not Listed: If a show not on either platform's list ranks #2, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' (catch-all market); Kalshi has no explicit catch-all and would resolve to NO on all 13 markets.
- Tie or Ambiguous Ranking: Netflix's official ranking is deterministic; ties are not anticipated. If Netflix reports co-equal rankings, the official chart display order governs.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on February 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes the Top 10 chart. Markets settle after confirmation of the #2 show. Polymarket has a hard deadline of February 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET for the update to occur, after which it resolves to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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