TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
72 HOURS
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
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Positive
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks which movie will occupy the #2 position on the US Netflix Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending August 11, 2026. The resolution depends on Netflix's official chart update and viewership data for the United States.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the same Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 11, 2026, using total US views and alphabetical tie-breakers.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart on top10.netflix.comCore resolution logic:
- The #2 movie is determined by total US views as reported by Netflix.
- Ties are broken by alphabetical order of movie titles.
- If the chart is not updated by August 14, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Chart Update Delay: If Netflix does not publish the chart by August 14, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent.
- Tie-Breaker: If two movies are tied for #2, the one that comes first alphabetically wins.
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated movie occupies the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 11, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before August 11. The published chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday. None of these markets imply endorsement by Netflix; references to the platform are used descriptively and do not suggest any affiliation between Netflix and the market operator.