TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
One Piece: Season
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Mar 24, 2026
#2 Global Netflix Show on Mar 16, 2026?
Amount
$
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 25 of 36
Description
This event group predicts which show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list as published on March 17, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on the official Netflix top10.netflix.com update reflecting viewership from the prior week, with multiple candidate shows listed across both markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Show title specification inconsistency between platforms. Polymarket uses generic placeholders and abbreviated titles, while Kalshi specifies full titles with season numbers and format qualifiers. Additionally, the candidate show lists differ between platforms, with Kalshi including shows absent from Polymarket and vice versa.Hero tip: Before March 17, 2026, cross-reference the exact show title and format as it appears on Netflix's official top10.netflix.com listing. Confirm with both platforms whether 'The Dinosaurs' matches 'The Dinosaurs: Season 1' and whether 'The TikTok Killer' matches 'The TikTok Killer: Limited Series'. Traders on both platforms should hedge or clarify title matching rules to avoid resolution disputes.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Uses mixed nomenclature: placeholder names (Show B-K), some full titles (One Piece: Season 2, Virgin River: Season 7, Bridgerton: Season 4), and abbreviated titles without format qualifiers (The Dinosaurs, The Tiktok Killer, Vladimir, Age of Attraction). Includes 'another show' catch-all option. Resolution source: Netflix top10.netflix.com update on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, with fallback to 'Other' if update does not occur by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Kalshi: Uses fully qualified show titles with season numbers and format descriptors (The Dinosaurs: Season 1, Vladimir: Limited Series, The TikTok Killer: Limited Series, One Piece: Season, Love Is Blind: Ohio). Includes shows not listed on Polymarket (Bruce Bruce: I Ain't Playin', A Friend, a Murderer: Limited Series, Raw: 2026 - March 2, 2026, Ms. Rachel: Season 1, Love Is Blind: Ohio). Resolution source: Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on Mar 17, 2026, with no explicit fallback clause.