TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Crew Girl: Season 1
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 22, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This prediction market asks forecasters to predict which Netflix show will be ranked #2 globally for the week leading up to September 22, 2026. Rankings are based on total views as reported by Netflix on their Top 10 website.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi offers individual markets for each show, while Polymarket has a single market with an 'Other' outcome. This creates SKU risk and differing market scopes.Hero tip: Consider the 'Other' outcome risk on Polymarket. If you strongly believe a show *not* listed on Kalshi could take #2, Polymarket might be preferable. Otherwise, Kalshi's granular markets offer more targeted bets.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to a specific show being #2, with a tie-breaking rule (alphabetical order) and a fallback to 'Other' if the Netflix update is delayed. Includes a description of the ranking methodology (total views).
- Kalshi: Offers a separate market for each potential show being #2, resolving based solely on the Netflix Top 10 chart. No tie-breaking or 'Other' outcome is specified.
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if its specified show occupies the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on September 22, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so markets close at 11:59 PM ET the preceding Monday. The published chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday. None of these markets imply endorsement by Netflix; references are purely descriptive and not indicative of any affiliation between Netflix and the market operator.