TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
My Brilliant Career: Season 1
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 25, 2026
Closed: Aug 25, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
Description
This event group tracks which show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list for the week ending August 25, 2026. Multiple platforms host markets on various shows potentially occupying this position.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use Netflix's official global Top 10 TV shows chart published on August 25, 2026 as the primary resolution source, with consistent tie-breaking rules and contingency plans for delayed updates.Primary resolution logic: Netflix's official global Top 10 TV shows chart published on top10.netflix.comCore resolution logic:
- The winning show is the one ranked #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows chart published on August 25, 2026
- Ties are broken by alphabetical order of show titles
- If the chart is not published by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Delayed Publication: If Netflix's chart is not published by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
- Tie-Breaking: If two or more shows are tied for #2, the show that comes first alphabetically wins
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether a specified Netflix show occupies the #2 position on the Global Top 10 Shows chart published on August 25, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's release. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the market operator; references to Netflix are purely descriptive. All markets share identical secondary rules governing timing and disclaimer provisions.
Frequently asked questions
Key signals that could shift this market include weekly viewing updates, strong social media reactions to new episodes, media coverage highlighting particular shows, and any last-minute releases or promotions by Netflix. Sudden spikes in viewership or endorsements from influencers may also cause rapid changes in odds as traders reassess probabilities ahead of the final count.