TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:08 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on pre-release buzz and historical performance, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, reacting to real-time viewership data and shifting audience preferences. Discrepancies can arise from factors analysts may not fully account for, such as viral marketing or unexpected critical reception. Examining these differences can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes for which film will be the #2 global Netflix movie.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the #2 global Netflix movie for the week of October 27th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official Netflix viewership data, as reported by a recognized and reliable source. This ensures an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential shifts in the rankings.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected critical reviews, viral social media trends, and major marketing pushes for specific films could all influence viewership and, consequently, the market odds. The release of trailers or new promotional material could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding the availability of competing films on other streaming platforms could impact Netflix’s viewership numbers. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.
