TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. Currently, the market shows significant confidence in one particular outcome, influencing the share prices accordingly. The 24-hour volume of $568 indicates the level of activity and interest in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The #2 global Netflix movie for the specified week will be determined based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a similar widely-recognized source. The resolution will reflect the film that holds the second-highest position in global viewership rankings according to these sources. The market will then settle based on which outcome aligns with the verified data.
Several signals could impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Unexpected critical reception of a newly released film, significant marketing pushes by Netflix for specific titles, or even trending social media discussions could all shift trader sentiment. A surprise announcement regarding a film's availability in key international markets could also influence the odds. Any data suggesting a change in viewership patterns for leading contenders will likely cause fluctuations in this market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.
