TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Volume:
$16,682
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group predicts which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies chart for the week ending March 24, 2026. Both platforms are asking the same core question but with different candidate movie lists and structural approaches.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different candidate movie lists and resolution structures. Kalshi defines 11 specific movies with implicit "None of the Above" risk, while Polymarket explicitly includes 21 named candidates plus an "other" catch-all and a technical fallback to "Other" if Netflix does not publish by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Hero Tip:
Identify the actual #2 movie on Netflix's March 24, 2026 chart. If it matches a movie on both platforms (Nobody 2, War Machine, KPop Demon Hunters, Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man), both resolve Yes. If the #2 movie appears only on Polymarket's list or is not on either list, Polymarket's "other" question resolves Yes while Kalshi may face ambiguity. Monitor Netflix's official top10.netflix.com update by 3:00 PM ET on March 24, 2026, and verify publication by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to avoid Polymarket's "Other" fallback.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Fixed list of 11 named movies. Resolves Yes if any of Nobody 2, Jurassic World Rebirth, KPop Demon Hunters, Trap House, War Machine, Nuremberg, The Captive, Jurassic World: Dominion, Trolls, Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story, or Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man ranks #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published March 24, 2026. No explicit resolution path for movies outside this list.
- Polymarket: 21 individual binary questions covering named movies (Saw: The Final Chapter, Jigsaw, Saw, Nobody 2, War Machine, KPop Demon Hunters, Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man, 27 Dresses, Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere) and 12 placeholder movies (A-K), plus a catch-all question 'Will another movie be #2'. Includes technical fallback: if top10.netflix.com does not update by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.