TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$11,540

The Whisper Man

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 4:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Whisper Man

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Whisper Man

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,220
N/A
N/A
$1,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Why Did I Get Married Again?

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Why Did I Get Married Again?

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,956
N/A
N/A
$1,099
Settled
No
polymarket

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Those Who Wish Me Dead

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Those Who Wish Me Dead

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
polymarket

The Seemingly Perfect Family

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

The Little Things

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Hard Corps

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold Mr. T: I Pity The Fool

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shrek

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anaconda 3: Offspring

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This group asks forecasters to predict which movie will be the second most popular on Netflix globally for a specific week. Resolution depends on the official Netflix Top 10 list published on Tuesdays.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets are tied to specific movie titles, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option and generic 'Movie X' options, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of a movie not listed on Kalshi taking the #2 spot, which would lead to a divergence. Polymarket's 'Other' option provides coverage for this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket asks direct binary questions about specific movies being #2, and includes a question for 'another movie' being #2, as well as a resolution to 'Other' if the Netflix chart isn't updated. "If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi lists specific movies, and a market resolves to 'Yes' if that movie is #2. There is no 'Other' option or coverage for movies not explicitly listed. "If Why Did I Get Married Again? is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specified movie appears in the exact #2 position on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart published on September 22, 2026. The chart reflects viewer engagement for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. None of the markets imply endorsement from Netflix, and all references to the platform are used descriptively without affiliation.