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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$46,617

The Last House

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Last House

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,119
N/A
N/A
$12,128
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Last House

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$13,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Don't Say Good Luck

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,017
N/A
N/A
$5,092
Settled
No
polymarket

Don't Say Good Luck

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

To Catch a Cheater

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Extinction

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Extinction

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$160
Settled
No
kalshi

72 HOURS

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$911
Settled
No
polymarket

Arthur the King

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arthur the King

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlie and the Chocolate Factory

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

What a Girl Wants

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Far from Home

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group tracks which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 25, 2026. The resolution depends on Netflix's official chart published on August 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same official source: Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart published on August 25, 2026.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 Global Movies chart (top10.netflix.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on the movie occupying the #2 position on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart published on August 25, 2026.
  • If the chart is not published by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcomes.
  • Ties in ranking are broken by alphabetical order of movie titles.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Chart Not Published: If top10.netflix.com does not update by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcomes.
  • Tie-Breaker: If two or more movies are tied for #2, the tie is broken by alphabetical order of the movie titles.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Netflix chart is published on August 25, 2026, with a deadline of August 28, 2026, for chart availability.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated movie appears in the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on August 25, 2026. The chart reflects viewer activity for the week ending the previous Sunday, with updates occurring on Tuesdays. All markets close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before the chart's publication. These markets are independent speculations and carry no endorsement from Netflix; references to the platform are used descriptively only.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the global Netflix #2 movie market tracks aggregated predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different films landing in the second spot on Netflix’s global chart this week. It pulls in real-time odds and volume from various platforms, giving you a snapshot of market consensus and momentum. By monitoring this market, participants can see which titles are gaining traction and compare activity between venues. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment as new data or buzz influences expectations.