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Don't Say Good Luck
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Closed: Aug 18, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of viewer sentiment. Analysts may weigh factors like release timing and genre trends, while traders react to real-time buzz, social media trends, and early viewership data. This can lead to divergence, especially when unexpected streaming events or viral moments occur. Still, both sources often highlight similar contenders early on.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by official Netflix viewership data for that week, typically released soon after the period ends. Until then, traders can still place bets as new information emerges.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before it closes. Major social media spikes, influencer endorsements, or surprise add-ons like award nominations can quickly change trader sentiment. Additionally, competing releases or platform-exclusive events may draw viewers away from expected films. Weekly viewership previews or regional performance leaks also often cause short-term price swings as traders adjust their positions.
