TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
72 HOURS
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies list for the week ending August 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on Netflix's official chart, with specific rules for tie-breaking and fallback conditions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the same primary source (Netflix's official Top 10 Global Movies chart) with consistent tie-breaking rules and fallback conditions.Primary resolution logic: Netflix's official Top 10 Global Movies chart published on top10.netflix.comCore resolution logic:
- The winning movie is the one ranked #2 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending August 11, 2026.
- If multiple movies share the #2 position, the tie is broken by alphabetical order of the movie titles.
- If the chart is not published by August 14, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Chart Not Published: If Netflix fails to publish the chart by August 14, 2026, all markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent.
- Tie at #2: Ties at the #2 position are broken by alphabetical order of the movie titles.
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
The event determines which film occupies the #2 position on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart in the week ending the Sunday before August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific movie, resolving to 'Yes' if that film ranks exactly second on the officially published chart dated August 11, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix updates its charts every Tuesday, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before August 11. The reported chart reflects viewing data from the preceding week. None of these markets imply any endorsement from Netflix, which is mentioned only for descriptive clarity. Resolution depends solely on the public Netflix chart data, with all disputes subject to the officially published ranking.